Articulating the Future
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1971

5/28/2017

2 Comments

 
The early 1970's was a whirlwind era that would forever change both America and the world. 

In 1971, Intel released the world's first microprocessor - the foundation of today's computers. China was admitted to the UN (United Nations). The Nasdaq, a now-popular stock market index, debuted. The environmentalist group Greenpeace formally came into existence as an organization. NPR (National Public Radio) broadcast for the first time. 

Ever gone to the hospital to get a CAT scan? Yep, that was first produced in 1971. Ever used a Texas Instruments calculator? Yep, that too was first released in 1971. Do you wear contact lenses? Those first became commercially available in the U.S. in 1971. You know that body armor soldiers wear on the battlefield? Yeah, Kevlar. That went on the market in 1971. Have you ever used FedEx to send a package? It was started in 1971.  Have you ever been to Disney World? It first opened in 1971.

A lot happened in '71. The real story though is that President Richard Nixon took the United States off the gold standard. This article is an exploration of what trends have been enabled by it and what has taken place because of it. ​
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"As to the assumed authority of any assembly in making paper money, or paper of any kind, a legal tender, or in other language, a compulsive payment, it is a most presumptuous attempt at arbitrary power. There can be no such power in a republican government: the people have no freedom — and property no security — where this practice can be acted: and the committee who shall bring in a report for this purpose, or the member who moves for it, and he who seconds it merits impeachment, and sooner or later may expect it."
- Thomas Paine, 1786, in his "Dissertations on government, the affairs of the bank, and paper money."

See a more full quote here, as well as a link to the original: [Link]

To be more specifically correct, the U.S. went off the gold standard in 1933. FDR did this after listening to one man - the rest of his advisors were adamantly against it (the assistant secretary of the Treasury resigned in protest). On the other hand, today it is credited by the vast majority of economists as being the reason why the U.S. got out of the Great Depression relatively quickly.

The "gold standard" simply meant that our currency (denominated in dollars) was backed by gold. In order to combat the Great Depression, the U.S. decided to take the plunge; because, according to Keynesian economic theory, one of the best ways to fight off an economic downturn is to inflate the money supply. At the time, our currency was backed by gold at exactly 
$20.67 per ounce. Afterwards, gold was banned. Everyone had to turn in their gold to the government (to the Federal Reserve, actually). Congress changed the laws that required debtors to repay creditors in gold dollars of the same weight and fineness as those borrowed. Then, the government declared that the price of gold was increased to $35 per ounce. Magically. Overnight. This had the effect of increasing the gold on the Federal Reserve’s balance sheets by 69 percent, and this increase in assets allowed the Federal Reserve to further inflate the money supply. Crazy, right?

It gets crazier. From 1933 until 1971, the government held the $35 per ounce price. Then, President Richard Nixon announced that the United States would no longer convert dollars to gold at a fixed value, thus completely abandoning the gold standard. It took three more years (in 1974) for President Gerald Ford to sign legislation that permitted Americans to again own gold bullion. For 40 years the American people weren't allowed to buy or own gold. Mind-blowing, isn't it?
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So in 1971 the U.S. - and in effect the world since the dollar was/is the world's reserve currency - economically steered towards a whole new horizon. Going completely off the gold standard enabled the Federal Reserve to steer the economy in new ways. Not tied to gold, they could adjust the amount of money in the economy at will. They were suddenly able not only to adjust interest rates across the board, but also literally inject "monetary liquidity" into the market at any time. This is what is meant by the phrase "printing money out of thin air." They aren't actually putting more physical paper into circulation, they are just adding zeros on a computer - but the effect is the same. National debt? That's fine, the Federal Reserve will just add some more zeros onto the tab and make "money" magically appear. This is why the debt ceiling debate in Congress always ends up with legislation "raising" the debt ceiling. Because, who the hell cares when it's all fake anyway? The rest is partisan bickering over pet projects getting funded. ​

So what happened since then? Why is this such a big deal? Personally, I'm a very visually-oriented person and I really like representational data. So, here are a few graphs:
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Notice what year this graph starts going exponential:
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​Conclusion:

I'll wrap it up by leaving you with this to tie it all together:

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2 Comments
Dennis Mitchell
6/1/2017 07:41:40 am

It was still common to get silver coins in your change. Real silver!

Reply
Mark Richardson
11/1/2019 10:27:42 am

In the 1976-77 school year the cost of resident undergrad tuition at Western Michigan University was $30/credit-hour and minimum wage was $2.30/hour. The cost to live in the dorm with all you could eat food service was $490/semester.

This fall WMU is charging $490/credit-hour, a 1636.6% increase since the fall of 1976, and the cost to live in the dorm with the 21-meal plan, no longer all you can eat, is $5350/semester, up by almost 1100%.

In the spring semester of 1977 three friends and I rented a 4-BR 2.5 BA off-campus for $200/month. Earlier this fall there were several similar 4-BR houses for rent a short walk from campus that were renting for $1800/month in Kalamazoo, where the median home price today is just $120K.

The average price of gold in 1976 was close to $125/ounce and the average price of gold over the last 6 months is $1450/ounce, an 1150% increase. To bad that the Federal minimum wage ia only up by 315.2% since 1976. Even Michigan's minimum wage today, $9.45/hour, is only up by 410% since 1976.

In 1975 and 1976 I was a night manager at a Mobil service station. This was before self-service gas was legal there. I supervised two gas jockeys, did minor mechanical work, did paperwork, stocked the vending machines, and even ordered gas deliveries if the fuel tanks were low. At the time the job paid $4.00/hour.

How much would that job have to pay today to break even on retail purchasing power with 1976?

Reply



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